Below we provide some comparative analysis of by-player, by-position and overall team statistical output for the 2012 NHL Playoff games dropping the puck on Friday, 13 April. (Note tonight is Game 1 of FLA versus NJD – you can read our analysis of this matchup on the OGA Blogs.)
DET @ NSH, 7:30p (ET) – NSH leads series 1-0
Our series call (and all others for Round 1) was for a NSH victory in six games. We are not there yet, but we said the ‘tell’ for that call is NSH winning either Game 3 or 4 at The Joe.
By-Player analysis indicates who is having the most impact for their team in terms of total percentage of statistical output for the 16 categories we are watching:
- At LW, nobody is monopolizing both total numbers and overall, statistical percentage forward of the blueline like Zetterberg of DET. His strength comes from his goal scored, SOG, shooting %, faceoff %, and, of greatest note, his Time On The Ice (TOI). He is definitely a player for the Preds to bang in order to wear him down.
- At C, Fisher of NSH is the leader in total numbers and just behind Datsyuk od DET for overall, statistical percentage. Neither Centerman has a point yet in the series – the difference between them is shifts per game and more than one minute of TOI for Fisher.
- At RW, Erat of NSH leads in total numbers with Franzen of DET just ahead in overall percentage of statistical output. the primary difference is TOI for Erat is almost three minutes more for his younger legs. This also means Franzen is providing more output for the time he skates than Erat.
- At D, both Josi and Weber of NSH are are pulling down top total numbers and overall percentages of statistical output above 8%. Suter and Klein of NSH also outpace Kronwall, DET’s leading Defenseman. While Josi may be a one-game anomaly as leader, you know Weber is a huge part of th Predator’s game. He needs to be pressured by DET’s forwards.
- In G, Rinne’s Save % and GAA for NSH are in the lead as you might expect.
For teams as a whole, NSH leads the two clubs in statistical output. By-position, the leaders are:
- LW – NSH
- C – NSH; this position holds the largest discrepancy between the two clubs.
- RW – DET
- D – NSH
- G – NSH
The opening win for NSH is a good start toward our predicted series win by the Predators in six games. They need to continue the effort to close out Game 2 with a second victory. The they can concentrate on a split in DET.
PHI @ PIT, 7:30p (ET) – PHI leads series 1-0
This series call was for a PIT to win in seven games. The home loss on Wednesday night seems to point toward that end state.
By-Player analysis below holds some key series indicators:
- At LW, Kunitz, Neal and Cooke of PIT all outperformed PHI’s LW leader, Hartnell in terms of both total numbers and overall, statistical percentage. This is a tough nut for PHI to crack who should simply concentrate on Hartnell upping his game.
- At C, Schenn of PHI leads the pack in total numbers and is less than 1% behind Stall of PIT in overall, statistical percentage. Schenn’s total point, +2, faceoff % and hits assist him in leading this category. An adjustment in matchups can likely overcome this.
- At RW, Briere of PHI leads in total numbers with Dupuis of PIT barely ahead in overall percentage of statistical output. The difference here is primarily Briere’s TOI and faceoff % between these two players. The Pens will key on Briere tonight, opening up other players (such as Simmonds and Giroux) to come to the forefront.
- At D, Timonen of PHI leads the pack in both total numbers and overall percentages of statistical output. He is also the only Game 1 Defenseman above 8% in the overall category.
- In G, Bryzgalov gets the nod for PHI based on the Win, but these two netminders are very close in terms of output.
For teams as a whole, PHI leads the two clubs in statistical output. By-position, the leaders are:
- LW – PIT
- C – PHI
- RW – PHI; this position holds the largest discrepancy between the two clubs.
- D – PHI
- G – PHI
The opening win for PHI sets the tone for this being a potentially long series. Game 2 is one to watch tonight.
LAK @ VAN is coming soon…