Below is your AHL Point Predictor and Playoff Qualifying Curve (PQC) update for AHL games ending Friday, 19 October. What are we showing here? Where the AHL going, not where they were after the games that night.
How Will We Do It? Check back here several times a week as we provide you the simple chart below where you can follow the AHL’s march to the Playoffs. We will provide the PQC calls explained below as each team reaches another 10-game marker (i.e. Game 10, 20, 30, etc.). As teams do so, the standings line color changes to the appropriate PQC designation. And once we make a call of IN (Chasing Calder) or OUT (Tee Time), we stick by it unless a BAD CALL (Shot Off The Post) notification is made.
Additionally, we also give you projected standings based on team play. Note here that the chart is still from early in the season. Projected standings will not gain true clarity until every team has at least one OT/SO loss and/or beginning around the Game 20 mark. But you should know we are striving to bring you the end result long before its actual arrival.
The 19 October Chart
Here are the two Conferences after games completed on 19 October:
Here are notes to explain the chart:
1. AHL Conferences are shown Western and Eastern from left to right as they would be on a map. The far left column in each chart titled ‘AHL Stnd’ indicates current team AHL standings as of the posted date. And teams use standard AHL abbreviations and color schemes.
2. ‘GP’ = Games Played.
3. ‘eW’ = Estimated Wins, our own formulary as the season progresses.
4. ‘eL’ = Estimated Losses
5. ‘eOTL’ = Estimated Overtime Losses, the third point in three-point games
6. ‘ePts’ = Estimated Points
7. ‘ePt Rnk’ = Estimated Points Rank, our call in how they will fare overall
8. And the ‘PQC Code’: ‘CC’ = Chasing Calder, or IN the Playoffs; ‘SS’ = Sharpening Skates, or just shy of IN the Playoffs; ‘ITC’ = In The Curve, or playing right about on average; ‘DoC’ = Dusting Off Clubs, or almost OUT of the Playoffs; ‘TT’ = Tee Time, or OUT of the Playoffs; and ‘SotP’ = Shot Off The Post, or a bad call of CC or TT. Again, the PQC Codes get called every 10 games. (For example, my hometown Houston Aeros’ first PQC call will come after the game they play on 4 November, their Game 10.) Note here that in the NHL it was tradition to get some early ‘Chasing Stanley’ and/or TT calls each year until the last year season. In 2011-12, it took until the Game 30 mark to start calling CS’ due to the competitiveness of the League. We will see how the AHL works out.
So above you have it – the updated AHL Point Predictor and PQC Standings chart based on games ending 19 October. The next one posted will be after the round of games on Saturday, 20 October with additional weekend updates Saturday and Sunday.
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