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NHL Week 5 Sunday (27 October): What Have We Learned?


We began NHL Week 5 last night. We continue near-daily updates as 28 teams have completed their G10 furlong and the final two teams will be complete by Tuesday, 29 October.

Here we go with our notes…

The NHL As A Whole

1. West Versus East. See “…What Have We Learned?…” for 26 October to see the breakdown of this continuing saga. We will roll up this week for the 2 November blog.

2. The Week 5 OT/SO percentage will also be updated in the 2 November blog.

3. The PP / PK numbers? Ditto the above.

Now for the crux of our daily report: How do the Conferences look in light of the Playoff Qualifying Curve (PQC) and what remains on the G10 PQC Call schedule for this season?

The Eastern Conference

Our chart below indicates how the Eastern Conference projects against the PQC through Sunday, 27 October’s games:

NHLeast28Oct

Some notes here:

1.There are no changes to PQC calls from Saturday night’s game / Sunday’s blog.

2. No Eastern Conference teams are Chasing Stanley (CS) at Game 10 (G10).

3. No Eastern Conference team will rate a Sharpening Skates (SS) call, or just short of IN the post-season.

4. Twelve teams – see below – are already an ITC call. One more Eastern Conference teams will not land better than an ITC call.

5. Three teams cannot surpass a Dusting Off Clubs (DoC) call or just short of OUT of the Playoffs.

6. And one team has already been called at Tee Time (T2) or OUT of 2014 Playoff contention – see below.

7. ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ shows the Top 8 teams and who their opponents project to be. Changes from Sunday’s pairings did occur, however, and are:

  • Tampa Bay and Boston as Seeds 1 and 3 respectively changed based on the Bolts’ win on Sunday night.
  • For the Metro Division’s final two Seeds, Carolina moved up to No. 4 and home ice advantage and the Islanders moved up to their opponent based on Columbus’ loss to Anaheim.

8. G10 PQC breakdown:

19 October 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The Buffalo Sabres have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the first team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

21 October 2013, Joe Louis Arena, Detroit, MI – The Detroit Red Wings have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, Air Canada Centre, Toronto, ON – The Toronto Maple Leafs have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, BB&T Center, Sunrise, FL – The Florida Panthers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

24 October 2013, Prudential Center, Newark, NJ – The New Jersey Devils have been called Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

24 October 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Montreal Canadiens have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – The Carolina Hurricanes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, Rexall Place, Edmonton, AB – The Washington Capitals have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Consol Energy Center, Pittsburgh, PA – Both the Pittsburgh Penguins and NY Islanders have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, OH – The Columbus Blue Jackets have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC – The Ottawa Senators have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

26 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA The Boston Bruins have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

26 October 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC The Tampa Bay Lightning have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

26 October 2013, Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale, NY The Philadelphia Flyers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

9. The final Eastern Conference PQC call comes Monday night for the Rangers in their home opener in the completely remodeled MSG. The schedule looks and looked like this:

SAT., 19 OCT – BUF (the first G10 call of the season)

MON., 21 OCT – DET

TUE., 22 OCT – FLA, TOR

THUR., 24 OCT – CAR, MTL, NJD, WSH

FRI., 25 OCT – CBJ, NYI, OTT, PIT

SAT., 26 OCT – BOS, PHI, TBL

MON., 28 OCT – NYR

The Western Conference

Our Western Conference chart below indicates their PQC projections through Sunday, 27 October’s games:

NHLwest28Oct

Western notes:

1. As with the Eastern Conference, there were no new PQC calls for the West on Sunday night.

2. One team from both divisions is a CS call.

3. One Central Division team can still pull off a SS call.

4. All 10 ITC calls are in.

5. One team sits as a Dusting Off Clubs (DoC) call at this time.

6. No teams currently project as a T2 maximum call.

7. Based on Sunday night’s contests, ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ pairings experienced slight adjustment:

  • There is no change to the Nos. 1 – 4 seeds.
  • Los Angeles’ SO win over Calgary moved them up as they played musical Playoff chairs with Phoenix and Vancouver.

8. G10 PQC breakdown:

20 October 2013, Nationwide Arena, Columbus OH – The Vancouver Canucks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

21 October 2013, Staples
Center, Los Angeles, CA
– The Los Angeles Kings have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Edmonton Oilers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

22 October 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – Both the Minnesota Wild and Nashville Predators have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, MTS Center, Winnipeg, MB – The Winnipeg Jets have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, Jobing.com Arena, Glendale, AZ – The Phoenix Coyotes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA The San Jose Sharks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

24 October 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Anaheim Ducks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa, FL – The Chicago Blackhawks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX – The Phoenix Coyotes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO The Colorado Avalanche have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

26 October 2013, American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX – The Dallas Stars have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

9. The Western Conference PQC call schedule is almost complete. St. Louis closes out the entire G10 furlong on Tuesday night, 29 October. Below is how the schedule ran and is running so far:

SUN., 20 OCT – VAN

MON., 21 OCT – LAK

TUE., 22 OCT – EDM, MIN, NSH, PHX, WPG

THUR., 24 OCT – ANA, CGY, CHI, SJS

FRI., 25 OCT – COL

SAT., 26 OCT – DAL

TUE., 29 OCT – STL (the last G10 call of the season)

Tuesday’s PQC analysis includes one more G10 call, followed by Wednesday’s last G10’er…

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