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NHL Week 5 Wednesday (30 October): What Have We Learned?


We began NHL Week 5 Sunday night. Our Game 10 (G10) furlong calls are now complete and our attentions turn toward the G20 stretch.

Here we go with our notes…

The NHL As A Whole

1. West Versus East. See “…What Have We Learned?…” for 26 October to see the breakdown of this continuing saga. We will roll up this week for the 2 November blog.

2. The Week 5 OT/SO percentage will also be updated in the 2 November blog.

3. The PP / PK numbers? Ditto the above.

4. We begin with this blog working to analyze for the G20 calls as you will see in the graphics below. This is the last day this blog carries individual team G10 calls except when they are Chasing Stanley (CS) or Tee Time (T2)’s – those calls remain permanent unless a team reaches a point where they become a Shot Off The Post (SotP) with a reversal of fate. And tomorrow’s blog will discuss some team and individual player Top 5 advanced stats.

Now for the crux of our daily report: How do the Conferences look in light of the Playoff Qualifying Curve (PQC) and what remains on the G10 PQC Call schedule for this season?

The Eastern Conference

Our chart below indicates how the Eastern Conference projects against the PQC through Wednesday, 30 October’s games:

NHLeast30Oct

Some notes here reference G20 maximum calls:

1. Up to seven Eastern Conference teams can earn a Chasing Stanley (CS) call for G20.

2. Two more teams can reach a maximum of a Sharpening Skates (SS) call, or just short of IN the post-season.

3. Six teams cannot surpass an In The Curve (ITC) call.

4. No teams currently project to a Dusting Off Clubs (DoC) call or just short of OUT of the Playoffs.

5. And one team remains at Tee Time (T2) or OUT of 2014 Playoff contention – see below.

6. ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ shows the Top 8 teams and who their opponents project to be. Changes from Tuesday’s pairings did occur, however, and are:

  • Based on their loss to Anaheim, Boston dropped from the No. 1, to the No. 5 Seed and the second Atlantic Division pairing.
  • Toronto, based on their win in Calgary, moved from the No. 3 to No. 1 seed
  • And Tampa Bay moved up to the No. 3 seed due to Boston’s defeat on Wednesday night.

7. G10 PQC breakdown:

19 October 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The Buffalo Sabres have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the first team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

21 October 2013, Joe Louis Arena, Detroit, MI – The Detroit Red Wings have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, Air Canada Centre, Toronto, ON – The Toronto Maple Leafs have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, BB&T Center, Sunrise, FL – The Florida Panthers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

24 October 2013, Prudential Center, Newark, NJ – The New Jersey Devils have been called Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

24 October 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Montreal Canadiens have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – The Carolina Hurricanes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, Rexall Place, Edmonton, AB – The Washington Capitals have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Consol Energy Center, Pittsburgh, PA – Both the Pittsburgh Penguins and NY Islanders have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, OH – The Columbus Blue Jackets have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC – The Ottawa Senators have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

26 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA – The Boston Bruins have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

26 October 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC – The Tampa Bay Lightning have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

26 October 2013, Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale, NY – The Philadelphia Flyers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

28 October 2013, Madison Square Garden, New York, NY – The New York Rangers have been called Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of elimination from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

8. The G20 Projection Schedule is (Atlantic Division teams are in BOLD Text):

TUE., 12 NOV – BUF

THUR., 14 NOV – NYI

FRI., 15 NOV – DET, FLA, MTL, WSH

SAT., 16 NOV – CAR, NJD, PIT, TBL, TOR

SUN., 17 NOV – CBJ, NYR, OTT

MON., 18 NOV – BOS

TUE., 19 NOV – PHI (the last G20 PQC call with COL and STL)

The Western Conference

Our Western Conference chart below indicates their PQC projections through Wednesday, 30 October’s games:

NHLwest30Oct

Western notes:

1. Up to 11 teams from the West can earn a CS call.

2. One Central Division team cannot surpass an SS call.

3. Two teams can earn an ITC call out of the West.

4. No team currently projects as a DoC call at this time.

5. And no teams project a G20, T2 call.

6. Based on Wednesday night’s contests, ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ pairings experienced only a swap of Los Angeles and Vancouver in the Wild Card seedings.

7. G10 PQC breakdown:

20 October 2013, Nationwide Arena, Columbus OH – The Vancouver Canucks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

21 October 2013, Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA – The Los Angeles Kings have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Edmonton Oilers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of eliminated from the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

22 October 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – Both the Minnesota Wild and Nashville Predators have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, MTS Center, Winnipeg, MB – The Winnipeg Jets have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

22 October 2013, Jobing.com Arena, Glendale, AZ – The Phoenix Coyotes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA The San Jose Sharks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

24 October 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Anaheim Ducks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa, FL – The Chicago Blackhawks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

24 October 2013, American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX – The Phoenix Coyotes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

25 October 2013, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO  The Colorado Avalanche have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

26 October 2013, American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX – The Dallas Stars have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for NHL play.

29 October 2013, Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO – The St. Lois Blues have been called Sharpening Skates (SS), or just short of IN the 2014 NHL Playoffs.

8. The G20 Projection Schedule is (Central Division teams are in BOLD Text):

SUN., 10 NOV – VAN (the first G20 PAC call)

TUE., 12 NOV – ANA, WPG,

WED., 13 NOV – EDM

THUR., 14 NOV – PHX

FRI., 15 NOV – LAK, MIN, SJS

SAT., 16 NOV – CGY, CHI, NSH,

SUN., 17 NOV – DAL,

TUE., 19 NOV – COL, STL (the last G20 PQC call with PHI)

Our next blog will be posted on Friday, 1 November where we continue to track the G20 stretch…

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