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NHL Week 6 Saturday (9 November): What Have We Learned?


We began NHL Week 6 last Sunday, and our attentions are turned toward Game 20 (G20) calls.

Here we go with our notes…

The NHL As A Whole

1. The West Versus East saga continues. For the week ending Saturday, 9 November, the East’s record against the West is 39 – 56 – 16 / .423 Hockey. That is a slight improvement over last week’s record of 35 – 50 – 9 / .420 Hockey. The Metropolitan Division, which is having is troubles winning, produced a slight improvement to 12 – 25 – 8 / .356 Hockey from its combined 10 – 22 – 6 / .342 Hockey of last week. The Atlantic division is 27 – 31 – 8 for .477 Hockey. Tampa Bay is still the leader from the east with a 6 – 0 record against the West, followed by Toronto at 6 – 3.

2. The current OT/SO percentage rests at 22.83% of all games played, up from last week’s 20.85%. In the 2010-11 season, the final percentage was 24.15%, possibly a better comparison this year than last shortened season’s 22.5%

3. And PP / PK numbers will also be reexamined after this coming Saturday night. Last week’s leader on the PP was St. Louis with a 30.3% scoring clip. This week, Washington takes over at 28.3%, our first drop of all teams below 30% for the season. Florida has supplanted Anaheim with a low 8.5% success rate. On the PK, Vancouver is No. 1 at 89.1%, supplanting Colorado’s 91.2%. The Penalty Kill basement is now held down by the Islanders at 74.1%, a modest improvement over Chicago’s 72.2% last week. Where we had two last Sunday to report, this week the Islanders are the only team with a PK below 75%.

4. And while we didn’t report on it last week, the average Winning Percentage in the East is on the rise at a current .495 with nine teams that stand above it. Still, it is a far cry from the West’s average of .630, also with nine teams above that number. This week’s projected points for the Western No. 8 / Wild Card seed is 106.12 points. The East projects with two teams above that number, and two teams tied with it in their top four seeds.

Now for the crux of our daily report: How do the Conferences look in light of the PQC and what remains on the G10 PQC Call schedule for this season?

The Eastern Conference

Our chart below indicates how the Eastern Conference projects against the PQC through Saturday, 9 November’s games:

NHLeast9Nov

Some notes here reference G20 maximum calls:

1. Four Eastern Conference teams can still earn a CS call for G20.

2. No team (down from one) can still attain a maximum of a Sharpening Skates (SS) call, or just short of IN the post-season.

3. Ten (up from nine) teams can surpass a maximum In The Curve (ITC) call. Two of them are already a lock and will be announced on their Game 20 call date.

4. No team (down from one) currently projects to a Dusting Off Clubs (DoC) call or just short of OUT of the Playoffs.

5. And two teams (up from one) are a T2 projection or OUT of 2014 Playoff contention. The second T2 team will be announced on their Game 20 call date.

6. ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ shows the Top 8 teams and who their opponents project to be. There are two changes from the last blog’s final seedings projection:

  • Based on the winner of last night’s contest, Boston has moved up to the home, No. 3 seed with Toronto projected as the visitor, just like last year’s Round 1.
  • And Ottawa displaces Montreal as the No. 8 / Wild Card seed on the strength of their third victory in a row last night over Florida.

7. PQC breakdown:

19 October 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The Buffalo Sabres have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the first team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

8. The G20 Projection Schedule is (Atlantic Division teams are in BOLD Text):

TUE., 12 NOV – BUF

THUR., 14 NOV – NYI

FRI., 15 NOV – DET, FLA, MTL, WSH

SAT., 16 NOV – CAR, NJD, PIT, TBL, TOR

SUN., 17 NOV – CBJ, NYR, OTT

MON., 18 NOV – BOS

TUE., 19 NOV – PHI (the last G20 PQC call with COL and STL)

The Western Conference

Our Western Conference chart below indicates their PQC projections through Saturday, 9 November’s games:

NHLwest9Nov

Western notes:

1. Eight (down from 9) teams out of the West can still earn a CS call by G20.

2. No teams are currently projected as an SS call.

3. Five (up from four) teams can earn an ITC call out of the West. One of them is already a lock and will be announced on their Game 20 call date.

4. No team currently projects as a maximum DoC call at this time.

5. And one team projects a G20, T2 call. This team will be revealed next week.

6. There are two changes from the last blog’s final seedings projection:

  • Based on Vancouver’s loss to Los Angeles to close out last night’s action, the Canucks dropped out of the Wild Card projections and the Kings moved into the No. 8 seed.
  • And also based on Vancouver’s loss, Minnesota moved up from the No. 8 to the No. 7 Wild Card seed.

7. PQC breakdown:

24 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA The San Jose Sharks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

25 October 2013, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO  The Colorado Avalanche have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

8. The G20 Projection Schedule is (Central Division teams are in BOLD Text):

SUN., 10 NOV – VAN (the first G20 PAC call)

TUE., 12 NOV – ANA, WPG,

WED., 13 NOV – EDM

THUR., 14 NOV – PHX

FRI., 15 NOV – LAK, MIN, SJS

SAT., 16 NOV – CGY, CHI, NSH,

SUN., 17 NOV – DAL,

TUE., 19 NOV – COL, STL (the last G20 PQC call with PHI)

Our next blog will be posted on Monday, 11 November, United States’ Veteran’s Day and Hockey Hall of Fame induction day, where we continue to track the G20 stretch…

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