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NHL Week 10 (Tuesday, 3 December): What Have We Learned?


Our first Game 30 (G30) furlong calls stand below in the Western Conference where another team joins the Chasing Stanley (CS) ranks and two more are waiting in the wings for their G30 call. We also will have 11 Eastern and six more Western G30 PQC calls by next Sunday morning.

So here we go with our notes…

The NHL As A Whole

1. The West Versus East rundown will be updated next Sunday, 8 December for games through 7 December.

2. The current OT/SO percentage will also be updated with the West versus East rundown.

3. Ditto for PP and PK numbers.

4. And also for winning percentages (W%).

And now for our current analysis of the NHL…

The Eastern Conference

Our chart below indicates how the Eastern Conference projects against the PQC through Tuesday, 3 December’s games:

NHLeast3Dec

Some notes here reference G30 maximum calls:

1. Five Eastern Conference teams have a shot at earning a CS call for G30. One team is already poised to join Tampa Bay once their G30 call hits.

2. No teams can earn a Sharpening Skates (SS) call by G30, or just short of IN the post-season.

3. Seven teams cannot surpass an In The Curve (ITC) call by G30. Two teams have already nestled into that mark and will be announced before week’s end.

4. No teams currently project a Dusting Off Clubs (DoC) call, or just short of OUT of the Playoffs.

5. And four Eastern teams remain a T2 projection, or OUT of 2014 Playoff contention.

6. ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ shows the Top 8 teams and who their opponents project to be. There are only two changes from our last blog’s final seedings projection:

  • Montreal moves up to the Number 3 seed on the basis of their 6 – 0 – 1 point streak.
  • Tampa Bay, after two straight losses, drops to the Number 7 Wild Card seed.

7. PQC breakdown:

19 October 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The Buffalo Sabres have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the first team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

14 November 2013, Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale, NY – The New York Islanders have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the third team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

15 November 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – The Florida Panthers have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the fourth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

16 November 2013, Jobing.com Arena, Phoenix, AZ – The Tampa Bay Lightning have been called Chasing Stanley (CS) at G10, the fourth team in the NHL and first in the Eastern Conference called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

17 November 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON – The Columbus Blue Jackets have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the sixth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

8. The G30 Projection Schedule is (Atlantic Division teams are in BOLD Text):

THUR., 5 DECMTL, PIT

FRI., 6 DEC – CAR, DET, NJD

SAT., 7 DECBUF, FLA, NYI, NYR, OTT, TOR

SUN., 8 DEC – BOS, WSH

MON., 9 DEC – CBJ, PHI

TUE., 10 DECTBL

The Western Conference

Our Western Conference chart below indicates their PQC projections through Tuesday, 3 December’s games:

NHLwest3Dec

Western notes:

1. Seven teams out of the West can earn a CS call by G30. There is one new team to add to the CS rolls below, and one more than is TBA when they reach their G30 mark. This will make six Western teams called IN the Playoffs already.

2. One (down from two) team currently projects as an SS call by G30.

3. Four (up from three) teams cannot surpass an ITC call out of the West. One team has already secured that mark and will be announced at their G30 early this week.

4. No team currently projects as a maximum DoC call at this time.

5. And two teams remain T2 calls for G30.

6. There were several adjustments to the last blog’s ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ seedings projection based on games through Tuesday night:

  • Based solely on their loss to Dallas, Chicago slides down from the Number 2 to Number 3 seed.
  • A combination of two straight losses for St. Louis and two wins for Colorado, moves Colorado up to Number 2 and St. Louis down to Number 4.
  • And after their SOL last night, Anaheim drops to Number 6 and Los Angeles moves up to the Number 5 projected seed.

7. PQC breakdown:

24 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA – The San Jose Sharks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

25 October 2013, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO – The Colorado Avalanche have been called Chasing Stanley (CS) at G10, the second team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

13 November 2013, Rexall Place, Edmonton, AB – The Edmonton Oilers have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the second team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

16 November 2013, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN – The Chicago Blackhawks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the third team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

16 November 2013, Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB – The Calgary Flames have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the fifth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

19 November 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The St. Louis Blues have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the fifth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

3 December 2013, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN – The Vancouver Canucks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play. The Canucks are being held back from a potential playoff position by San Jose, Anaheim, Los Angeles and Phoenix, the last of which projects 14 points / 7 Wins ahead of them by Game 82. Part of their issue is simply their 4 – 6 – 3 record against their Western foes, and 3 – 4 – 3 subset within their division. Also, they lack what you are looking for in a winning team in terms of the advanced stat, PDO, where they are under a 100 (combined goalie save and team shooting percentage) in overall and 5 – on – 5 Close situations. Their special teams are somewhat special, but they are not on the ice for the majority of the game. And add a one-month injury to Alex Burrows with a broken jaw and you have some desynchronization to the top line. Right now, Vancouver cannot chase well and has to rely on Phoenix to drop back and off the map. Wish in one hand…

3 December 2013, Honda Center, Anaheim, CA – The Anaheim Ducks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the sixth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs. At the G20 mark, we told you we needed to see if Anaheim’s first 20 games were a bit of an aberration or not before we called them a CS team. At G30, Toby Keith’s song, ‘How Do You Like Me Now?’ is their theme song. They currently sit at their second highest G30 mark since the 2004/05 stoppage. And minus the, well, horrid Power Play, they nonetheless are in the Top 10 for all other advanced stat rankings. At 9 – 2 – 1 versus Western Conference teams (and undefeated in regulation in the Pacific) and 9 – 5 – 3 versus the Eastern Conference, they are pretty solidly set for a shot at a Cup run as we see it.

8. The G30 Projection Schedule is (Central Division teams are in BOLD Text):

TUE., 3 DEC – ANA, VAN (the first G30 PQC calls)

THUR., 5 DEC – CHI, EDM, MIN, WPG

SAT., 7 DEC – LAK, NSH

SUN., 8 DEC – SJS

TUE., 10 DEC – CGY, PHX

THUR., 12 DEC – COL, DAL, STL (the last G30 PQC calls)

Our next blog will be posted on Friday, 6 December with two G30 furlong calls from the East and four out of the West…

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