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NHL Week 11 (Thursday, 12 December): What Have We Learned?


Game 30 (G30) furlong calls are now complete. With more than 30% of the NHL schedule accomplished, we have a good idea of a large majority of the 2014 Playoff picture. Below are our final calls through G30 and the new schedule for G40 calls.

So here we go with our notes…

The NHL As A Whole

1. The West Versus East dominance rundown continues next Sunday, 15 December.

2. The current OT/SO percentage also will be updated in the same blog as indicated above.

3. Ditto for PP and PK numbers.

4. And also for Conference winning percentages (W%).

And now for our current analysis of the NHL…

The Eastern Conference

Our chart below indicates how the Eastern Conference projects against the PQC through Thursday, 12 December’s games:

NHLeast12DEC

Some notes here reference G30 maximum calls:

1. Four Eastern Conference are a CS call for G30.

2. No teams are Sharpening Skates (SS) at G30.

3. Five teams are In The Curve (ITC) at G30.

4. One team currently is a Dusting Off Clubs (DoC) call at G30.

5. And six Eastern teams are at Tee Time (T2) at G30.

6. ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ shows the Top 8 teams and who their opponents project to be. There was only once change from our last blog update. Based on their loss last night, Carolina drops out of the Top 3 in the Metro Division and are replaced by the Rangers.

7. PQC breakdown:

19 October 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The Buffalo Sabres have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the first team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

14 November 2013, Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale, NY – The New York Islanders have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the third team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

15 November 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – The Florida Panthers have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the fourth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

16 November 2013, Jobing.com Arena, Phoenix, AZ – The Tampa Bay Lightning have been called Chasing Stanley (CS) at G10, the fourth team in the NHL and first in the Eastern Conference called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

17 November 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON – The Columbus Blue Jackets have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the sixth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

5 December 2013, Consol Energy Center, Pittsburgh, PA – The Pittsburgh Penguins have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the seventh team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

5 December 2013, Centre Bell, Montreal, QC – The Montreal Canadiens have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the eighth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

6 December 2013, Prudential Center, Newark, NJ The Detroit Red Wings have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for the 2013/4 NHL season and the New Jersey Devils have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the eighth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

6 December 2013, RSBC Center, Raleigh, NC – The Carolina Hurricanes have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play.

7 December 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC The Toronto Maple Leafs have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play and the Ottawa Senators have been called at Tee Tim (T2), or the ninth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

7 December 2013, Madison Square Garden, New York, NY – The New York Rangers have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play.

8 December 2013, Air Canada Centre, Toronto, ON – The Boston Bruins have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the tenth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

8 December 2013, Madison Square Garden, New York, NY – The Washington Capitals have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play.

9 December 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC – The Philadelphia Flyers have been called at Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

8. The G40 Projection Schedule is (Atlantic Division teams are in BOLD Text):

TUE., 7 JAN – NYI, PIT,

WED., 8 JAN – MTL, NYR, OTT

THUR., 9 JAN – CAR, NJD, TOR

SAT., 11 JANBOS, CBJ, DET, FLA, PHI, TBL

SUN., 12 JANBUF, WSH

The Western Conference

Our Western Conference chart below indicates their PQC projections through Thursday, 12 December’s games:

NHLwest12DEC

Western notes:

1. Six teams are a CS call at G30.

2. Two teams are an SS call at G30.

3. Three teams are an ITC call at G30.

4. No teams are a DoC call at G30.

5. And three teams are T2 calls for G30.

6. There was one major adjustment to the ‘If The Playoffs Started Today’ Top 8 teams in the Western Conference since our last blog posting. For the first time in weeks, Minnesota dropped out of the Top 8. They were replaced by Vancouver in the Pacific Division.

7. PQC breakdown:

24 October 2013, TD Garden, Boston, MA – The San Jose Sharks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the first team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

25 October 2013, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO – The Colorado Avalanche have been called Chasing Stanley (CS) at G10, the second team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

13 November 2013, Rexall Place, Edmonton, AB – The Edmonton Oilers have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the second team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

16 November 2013, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN – The Chicago Blackhawks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the third team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

16 November 2013, Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB – The Calgary Flames have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the fifth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

19 November 2013, First Niagara Center, Buffalo, NY – The St. Louis Blues have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the fifth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

3 December 2013, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN – The Vancouver Canucks have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play.

3 December 2013, Honda Center, Anaheim, CA – The Anaheim Ducks have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the sixth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

5 December 2013, BB&T Center, Sunrise, FL – The Winnipeg Jets have been called Dusting Off Clubs (DoC), or just short of OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

5 December 2013, Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN – The Minnesota Wild have been called Sharpening Skates (SS), or just short of IN the 2014 Playoffs.

7 December 2013, Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, QC – The Nashville Predators have been called at Tee Time (T2), or the tenth team called OUT of the 2014 Playoffs.

7 December 2013, Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA – The Los Angeles Kings have been called Chasing Stanley (CS), or the ninth team called IN the 2014 Playoffs.

10 December 2013, Pepsi Center, Denver, CO – The Phoenix Coyotes have been called Sharpening Skates (SS), or just short of IN the 2014 Playoffs. The Coyotes know they have to play hard to keep up with the likes of the Californians in front of them. They Fenwick For % (FF%) is in the upper teens in all situations plus a 100–or–better PDO with one exception, the Power Play. A team that in the past has prided itself on its defensive game is a bit less so this season so far, and it is magnified when a man or two short. Couple that with the fact that their G30 total is their best since the 2004/5 Lockout and you know offense has been the deciding factor. With defense their Achilles Heel, that will be the point of attack for opponents and improvement must be a point of emphasis for the Coyotes going forward.

12 December 2013, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN – The Dallas Stars have been called In The Curve (ITC), or about average for 2013-14 NHL play. There’s a win against Anaheim. Then two SO losses. Followed by a victory in Chicago. Then, later, a blow out by Chicago. And a loss in Nashville. This, ladies and gentlemen, is a fickle team. It needs some continuity. This all might be predictable considering the recent loss of two of the team’s most sturdy Blueline veterans. And yet they hang there, right In The Curve. What Dallas needs to do to end their playoff drought is be better than Minnesota and Vancouver and be just as good as Phoenix. That is their recipe for seeing play after 13 April.

8. The G40 Projection Schedule is (Central Division teams are in BOLD Text):

SUN., 5 JANCHI, EDM, WPG (the first G40 PQC calls)

TUE., 7 JAN – ANA, MIN, VAN

THUR., 9 JAN – LAK, NSH, SJS

SAT., 11 JAN – CGY, COL

SUN., 12 JAN – DAL

MON., 13 JAN – PHX

TUE., 14 JAN – STL (the last G40 PQC call)

Our next blog will be posted on Sunday, 15 December after Saturday’s games are completed…

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